Monday, August 11, 2008

Yesterday's Weather

NWS Forecast High: 88F
My Forecast High: 88F
Actual High: 90F!

Wait, so how did it get to 90F yesterday?! Well, I am still not fully sure. Skies stayed clear, but 850 mb temps were a bit cooler. Again, the temp peaked at 90F for our hour and immediately dropped back down after the clouds moved in. I guess one extra hour of heating was too much and the temperate peaked a bit warmer than expected. However, once again, Philip was the warmest location in the region.

Rainfall: 0.03 inches....but again, I am not sure how it was only that much. A very potent line of storms developed over the Black Hills and to the north and south. This line moved east through the evening, slowly weakening, but still with rainfall rates of at least 0.10-0.25 inches an hour. Some how this line was only able to produce rainfall of 0.03 inches in Philip when it recorded precipitation for three hours! Either way, my forecast was very close to correct for yesterday. Yesterday was definitely the best chance of rainfall over the past weekend as I predicted.

Today so far: Today has been much cooler than yesterday, as I expected. I almost added text saying that it could be even cooler than 86F and it looked like it might after sitting at 81F for two hours. However, now Philip is up to 85F which should be about as warm as it gets considering thunderstorms have developed over the Black Hills bringing cloud cover over the plains. The forecast of rainfall in the morning did not pan out as the cold front moved through the area, but there is still a chance of rainfall through the afternoon hours if any storms roll off of the Hills. They have been having trouble today, likely because the main forcing has already pushed to the east, thus decaying the storms when they move away from the higher elevations.

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