Sunday, August 31, 2008

Gustav Approaches Northern Gulf


Gustav has been steadily strengthening over the last few hours. Convection has increased on the western and southern sides of the storm, but has not yet developed on the northeastern side. The center of circulation is located near the gray colors in the middle of the highest cloud tops (red colors) on the image below. If this steady intensification continues, Gustav could regain substantial Category 3 winds on the right side. Already upper-level winds support 110 mph, up from the last pass by the Hurricane Hunters, and the center pressure is back down to 960 mb. A second pass is commencing as I write this, so more information should be available very soon.

The storm is still headed on the NHC track, if not just on the east side. I think it is safe to say that it should stay on this track through the rest of its time over water. Afterwards steering currents degrade and the system should drift around in the LA/TX area for a few days. I wouldn't be surprised to see mass flooding in the area.

I will update in a bit with the new Hurricane Hunter information.

No comments: