Fay Re-forms?

Earlier this morning I looked at the radar and could have sworn Fay was a little further south than it is now. The original center location would have tracked Fay into the Gulf of Mexico, giving it time to slightly strengthen and live a bit longer before weakening to a depression. However, the new location makes it much less likely that Fay will get a chance to strengthen at all. The hurricane possibilities are now at 0%, as far as I am concerned. There is the possibility that it moves back out over the water for a very short time near Pensacola, but even then it will be only for a few hours, not allowing Fay to strengthen.





The 'L' on the radar indicates the center of Fay, with the lines representing the old track, jump and then new track of the center. This is great news for the southeast, which before this jump was in line for many, many days (possibly another week!) of heavy rainfall. This threat still exists, but with Fay not able to re-energize, the storm should slowly start to weaken to a depression by the end of tomorrow (if it doesn't go over water at all). I think a remnant circulation will still be present over Mississippi in 5 days, but not the strength the GFS is forecasting, which should hold back on the extreme flooding that could occur. I'm not saying the threat is gone, but it sure will be less than originally thought.

Addition: Wait...what? That circulation broke down now too? Its broad, its tough to see, and now it looks like its going southwest. Basically, we are just going to have to watch this over the long hall because Fay is so weak the circulation can't center itself. Maybe some warm sea surface water in the Gulf will cause it to organize better, but right now, its tough to say. Will Fay even get over water?!? If so, 5 landfalls, if not, the dissipation will be much faster than anticipated.