Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Fay Continues Across Florida

Fay is continuing its trek across Florida and is currently right in the middle of the state. The NHC has said the storm has dropped in pressure since it made landfall and an eye feature has appeared while over land! Fay is obviously strengthening while over land, which is very rare. Florida has such flat land and abundant moisture that it appears it is doing little to interfere with Fay.

Consistency with the GFS and European models is starting to make me worried that we really will have the Gulf of Mexico solution. Both models have been consistent now for two days bringing Fay off the eastern coast of Florida and then back across into the Gulf, making landfall in the panhandle to LA border region. I am leaning towards this solution, especially with the GFDL and HWRF trending towards the GFS and European. Should be very interesting.

1 comment:

Justyn Jackson said...

What an idiot I was. Doug should beat me for not applying the teleconnection correctly.