11 am EST Update

The 11 am update has come out reporting Gustav with at 962 mb and winds of 120 mph. Where they found the 120 mph is puzzling me. However, I am sure they are doing this so that people along the coast don't think that the risk is reducing. The NHC is still forecasting a major hurricane at landfall. I think we currently have a 105 mph Category 2 Hurricane Gustav rather than the Category 3 the NHC is currently reporting. But, like I said in the last post, the storm is starting to look a bit better in satellite images, and the radar image showed a restructuring southern eyewall. Another 2-4 hours should tell us a lot!

As for the track, the storm still looks to the east or right on the NHC track. The NHC talked about a shift in the models back to the west a bit, which makes sense with a weaker system. However, the models have been to the left all long with this system and the ridge doesn't yet seem to be moving the system. Right now, I think New Orleans (or just to its west/south) gets the worst of this storm, whatever strength it will be at landfall.