NHC 5pm Discussion

Straight from the NHC discussion:

THE FORECAST TRACK SITUATION IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF HURRICANE CHARELYFROM AUGUST 2004...IN THAT A SMALL CHANGE IN THE TRACK OF THE STORMCOULD MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE IN THE EVETUAL LANDFALL LOCATION. THENHC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES PRODUCT SHOWS ABOUT AN EQUAL CHANCE OFHURRICANE-FORCE WINDS FOR THE ENTIRE WEST COAST OF THE FLORIDAPENINSULA.


In addition to that, the models have shifted....to the east and west, depending on the model. In other words, it is very difficult to tell what is going to happen just yet. I will stick with my prediction of the Tampa Bay area.