The wave coming off of Africa also looks very good, and is holding its convection together even with its transformation from a land based storm to a water based storm. The NHC has designated it a moderate chance of development into a tropical depression in 48 hours. I still think it will likely take the entire 48 hours, at least to be designated a depression, but a decent circulation and good convection indicates it has a good chance of being the 10th storm of the season. Tropical Depression 9 will be called IKE when it reaches Tropical Storm strength (which the NHC says it might already be).
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