Sunday, June 28, 2009

A Relative Calm

The next couple of days can be expected to be relatively calm compared to the storms which impacted the country from the Dakotas to the Gulf Coast the last three days. Storms will continue in Florida through Texas and up the High Plains with strong wind gusts and large hail the threats. No real high risk of a major wind event or tornado threat is expected. However, models seem to be trending towards the risk of a large MCS on day 3...or Wednesday. Both the GFS and NAM develop this system, with the NAM being much stronger than the GFS. It will be something to watch and I will go into more detail tomorrow night if the models are still showing it. Currently the NAM has a shortwave at 500 mb traversing from the High Plains through Kansas Wednesday night in northwest flow. Dewpoints should be back into the mid 60s to lower 70s with highs in the mid 90s across much of Kansas.

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