Well....

The SPC has come out with their new outlook and they are definitely not as bullish as I was yesterday. I can see what they are saying about the further north convection in KS not producing anything because of a shallow stable layer...and that's reasonable. I guess the heavy rain threat from training convection might be the only threat in this area, but if things become surface based..... I still think west TX/OK/ and now far eastern NM are the best locations. I always forget to mention New Mexico since I consider them a western state, not a plains state. However, weather doesn't care about location or time of year, only the current conditions.