Saturday, October 3, 2009

First week and thoughts about week 2

Charleston has been a rather dull city so far. The only real challenge was the low Tuesday night because it ended up being a midnight low and the winds....which didn't pan out as high as I had hoped on Friday. Temperatures seemed to follow the 850 mb temperature rules and were very close to MOS, with both the NAM and GFS being very accurate.

However, things should change for week two. Two or three systems have the potential to impact the area. The first will be remnants of Olaf streaming across the south and stalling in the southeast on Tuesday followed by a strong cold front on Wednesday. Thursday we might have a break between systems before a new cold front impacts the area late Friday. (Or at least that is what the models are currently indicating.) This will result in some high scoring opportunities! I wouldn't be surprised to see a winner for this city easily up near -8 or -9 if this much rainfall pans out. I will try and remember to blog on Monday about the possibilities for Tuesday. It will be interesting to see how the moisture from Olaf impacts the area. I see some opportunities to undercut guidance this week and possibility some 6Z lows. Should be a fun week!

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